🤑 Friday Finale: Greed Index Spikes in Bear Territory

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Hello, my Friends!

🟢 Wall Street wrapped the earnings week in the green, and I want you closing this email with the same winning Mindset.

🤝 Two economic titans are back at the negotiating table over tariffs, while daily headlines out of the White House keep volatility on a hair‑trigger.

📊 Add in the record‑breaking surge in options volume, and the tape is primed for explosive moves in either direction.

Greed Mode

The Fear & Greed Index just flipped to “Greed” territory - even though many analysts still call this a bear market. 

Remember that markets are always looking six months ahead, not in the rear‑view mirror.

Fun Fact:

On March 23 2020, the index hit “2 - Extreme Fear.”
- That day marked the exact bottom of the COVID crash.

- Twelve months later, the S&P 500 had rocketed 75 % higher.

The Index rolls seven market gauges - momentum, breadth, put‑call ratios, junk‑bond demand, safe‑haven flows, 52‑week highs vs. lows, and the VIX - into a single score.

  • Extreme Fear (0‑25): Capitulation.

  • Extreme Greed (75‑100): Euphoria.

Think of it as Wall Street’s mood ring: glance once, and you know when to lean in.

Enough headlines about tariffs and high‑stakes deal‑making - let’s pull back the curtain and see how the top 1% close better deals.

Lessons from the Trenches

Most entrepreneurs react; elite founders orchestrate. After dissecting more than 2,000 seed‑to‑Series B negotiations, one pattern was unmistakable: winners combine clarity, structure, and tactical empathy.

They prepare like lawyers, not gamblers.

Mediocre negotiators show up with vibes. Elite ones show up with research.

  • The BATNA (Best Alternative To a Negotiated Agreement) for both sides

  • What concessions they’re willing to give - and what’s non-negotiable

  • How to anchor the conversation around a number that benefits them

“Negotiation is 90% prep, 10% talk.” – top-performing founder, SaaS exit $120M

They ask uncomfortable questions

While others tiptoe, top 1% founders go straight to the core:

  • “What are your internal constraints?”

  • “Who else needs to sign off?”

  • “What does a 'win' look like for your team?”

These questions frame control early and reveal decision-makers, deadlines, and dealbreakers before they explode at the final hour.

They play the long game - without being soft

They don’t get emotionally hijacked by a pause, a “no,” or a power move.
They understand: silence is strategy. Rejection is leverage.
They’re not just closing this deal - they’re building future deal flow.

They treat each negotiation like a data point, not a battle.

They create win conditions that align incentives

Instead of arguing over price, they shift the discussion to outcomes.
Examples:

  • Revenue share instead of a flat fee

  • Performance-based equity clauses

  • Deferred comp tied to project success

This makes the deal a mutual mission - not a tug-of-war.

They track their negotiation performance like a KPI

You track your probability - but what about your negotiation hit rate?

  • Keep a deal journal

  • Review what worked and what backfired

  • Debrief with advisors or team post-close

They learn forward - every time!

If you’re winging it, you’re burning money and leverage. Treat negotiation as a craft: prep, execute, review, repeat. The top 1% treat negotiating like a craft. They plan for it, train for it, and debrief after it.

Market Rundown

SPX500

📈 The S&P 500 kept inching higher despite ending the week with a subtle bearish print.

🛑 Friday’s close clung to the mid‑week support zone, setting up a classic suspense point: will the uptrend gather momentum, or will the next big headline slam the brakes?

Market Snapshot Headlines

  • Wall Street Wobbles on Trade Jitters – S&P 500 slips, Dow ticks lower, Nasdaq squeaks into the green as investors await U.S. - China tariff talks.

  • Trump Floats “80 % Tariff” on Chinese Goods – First concrete alternative to his 145 % levy heightens weekend‑deal suspense.

  • Sector Split: Healthcare sinks 1.1 %, while Energy surges on a nearly 2 % crude‑oil pop.

  • Weekly Scorecard: Big three indexes finish down; small‑cap Russell 2000 logs a fifth straight weekly win - its best streak since 2023.

  • Next Week’s Spotlight: Walmart earnings take center stage as tariff anxieties linger.

  • Notable Move: Expedia tumbles 7 % after missing revenue targets.

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Until next time,
Steve B
Founder, The Daily Impulse

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