Buckle Up - FOMC Volatility Is Coming

Hello, my Friends!

We’re trying something new: writing this letter before the day’s market Impulse hits. ✍️

With the FOMC meeting looming, volatility is about to take off like a rocket. 🚀

Trades can flip on a dime, and it’s all too easy to chase gains or hold on way too long. ⚖️

Here are some stats:

• 25% Jump: FOMC days see intraday S&P 500 trading volume surge by about a quarter.

• 1st Spike: Volume can surge by 50–70% in the first 15 minutes post-announcement.

• 2nd Spike: Volume spikes sharply in the hour following the statement.

• Sudden Chart Swings: Expect both price movement and trading activity to accelerate in tandem.

• 30% Above Average: Meetings have pushed total one-day index volumes well beyond typical monthly levels.

As part of this month’s theme, here’s an extra boost to your Daily Checklist - because when the market gets wild, you’ll want these moves in your back pocket.

1. Lock in Your Framework

When the Fed speaks, the market can go haywire. A solid framework helps you keep your cool.

• Set your risk tolerance, target returns, and no entry zones.

• Draw your hard lines - no excuses!

2. Spot Emotional Tripwires

Fear, greed, and FOMO skyrocket in a fast-moving market.

• Name your emotions - literally. If you’re feeling nervous, call it out.

• Stick to your plan, not the crowd’s - even if X is in full meltdown mode.

3. Weigh Risk vs. Reward

FOMC volatility can magnify both potential gains & losses.

• Dive into due diligence and run both best- and worst-case scenarios.

• If the reward doesn’t justify the risk, walk away - no shame in that.

4. Pay Attention to Red Flags

Big swings can mask subtle warning signs. Sometimes your gut knows before those delayed candlesticks.

• Confront anything that feels off - don’t hope problems magically disappear.

• If alarm bells keep ringing, trust your instincts.

5. ‘Stop-Loss’ Mindset

Predetermine your exit points so the market doesn’t decide for you.

• Identify your deal-breakers - then write them down.

• Don’t wait for losses to spiral. Act fast when red lines are crossed.

6. Document Your Invalidation

Today’s quick exit can be tomorrow’s best lesson.

• Keep a journal - digital or old-school. Note exactly why you bailed.

• Revisit those notes to refine your game plan over time.

7. Defend Your Mental Capital

A brutal trade can leave you drained, messing with your judgment on the next opportunity.

• Establish boundaries. If a trade or deal is too mentally taxing, it’s time to cut it loose.

• Not every opportunity is worth your peace of mind - seriously.

Stay sharp and trade smart - sometimes the boldest move is the one you don’t make.

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Until next time,
Steve B
Founder, The Daily Impulse

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Important Disclaimer:

This newsletter is for educational purposes only and does not offer financial or investment advice. It should not be taken as a recommendation to trade assets or make any financial decisions. Please be cautious and ensure you conduct thorough research or consult with a financial professional before making any investment choices.

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